Flood Development Process Forecasting Based on Water Resources Statistical Data

The Ukrainian Carpathians is the territory with a great threat of floods. This due to natural and climatic conditions this region, which characterized by mountainous terrain, high density hydrological network significant amount precipitation. Amount precipitation here ranges from 600 mm on plains 1,600 mountain tops. main factors floods occurrence are excessive precipitation, low water permeability soil proportion low-permeability rocks (flysch layers predominance clay layers). Therefore, catastrophic in region were also observed previous centuries, when anthropogenic impact environment, including forest ecosystems, was not comparable current one. Any flood period development, its critical (maximum) intensity decline. In present paper, based use methods for approximating curves results experimental studies waters, method mathematical description forecasting development suggested. recommended direction further research may be related means determine parameters that affect process formation.